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Bitcoin tests the upper channel resistance as a sign of weakness emerge

Bitcoin is once again testing the upper boundary of its downward-sloping channel on the daily chart, a structure that has been in play for several weeks. Yesterday’s candle closed as a notable bearish engulfing, hinting at potential weakness in the current move. Unless the price can break above the 108,500 level with conviction, Bitcoin remains confined within this descending structure, which can also be interpreted as a broader range.

Bitcoin tests the upper channel resistance as a sign of weakness emerge - BTCUSD 2025 07 01 16 20 30 e9678

On the 4-hour chart, we can see Bitcoin trading inside a local horizontal range, marked by dotted white lines. The range low aligns with the 106,000 level, marked as level 2, which is a key support zone. A break below this level would likely bring the 102,000 area (marked as level 1) into focus, and potentially trigger a deeper move within the descending structure.

On the other hand, a reclaim of the range EQ around 107,500 would indicate local strength. If bulls can push the price above that level and sustain momentum, we may see a breakout from the high time frame channel on the daily chart, a development that could shift sentiment and open the door to higher levels.

For now, 106,000 remains the key downside level to monitor, while 107,500 and 108,500 are the upside triggers that could lead to a breakout or continuation within the existing range-channel structure.

Bitcoin tests the upper channel resistance as a sign of weakness emerge - BTCUSD 2025 07 01 16 23 17 cbc51

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Author

Jonatan Randin
Jonatan is a full-time trader and market analyst with extensive experience in the crypto and Forex markets. He specialises in macro-focused technical analysis, offering clear, actionable insights that help traders and investors gain an edge through p...
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