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ETH falls despite the Fusaka upgrade launch date

Highlights
ETH falls below 4000 to 3800 The Fusaka upgrade will be launched on mainnet on December 3 The upgrade aims to improve scalability and efficiency ETH technical analysis

Ethereum has fallen below the 4000 level this week, trading at 3800 at the time of writing. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has seen a 3% decline this week, even as Ethereum developers finalise the mainnet launch for Fusaka on December 3. 

After Fusaka successfully launched on the Hoodi testnet on Tuesday, Ethereum’s core developers confirmed during a call on Thursday that the mainnet launch would take place in December. The upgrade had already been deployed on the Holesky and Sepolia testnets earlier this month. With its third and final testnet completed smoothly, the stage is now set for mainnet activation. 

What is the Fusaka upgrade? 

The highly anticipated software upgrade includes 12 Ethereum Improvement Proposals aimed at making Ethereum significantly more scalable by optimising how the network collects and verifies data from layer 2 chains. Several of the proposals focus on improving efficiency and the user experience, building on advances in earlier upgrades. 

For example, Fusaka will expand on the innovation of the 2024 Duncan upgrade’s “blobs”, which allow the temporary storage of layer 2 data on Ethereum transaction blocks. This significantly reduced gas fees and processing time for layer 2 transactions. 

Fusaka will build on this innovation by increasing the blob space available in each Ethereum transaction block, which is expected to make layer-2 transactions even quicker and almost free with time. This will happen in two phases on December 9 and January 8 

Fusaka will introduce a new data-sampling method called PeerDAS, originally scheduled for the February 2025 Pectra upgrade, but was delayed for further testing. This PeerDAS feature enables developers to validate Layer-2 transactions by sampling a small subset of blobs data. This is key to Ethereum’s scalability as it allows layer-2 networks to process a larger number of transactions at almost zero cost. 

The Fusaka launch comes soon after the Pectra upgrade, making it one of the fastest major upgrades in recent times. 

ETH technical analysis 

ETH falls despite the Fusaka upgrade launch date - eth 1

ETH continues to trade within a bull flag pattern. The prices faced resistance at the 50 SMA and rebounded lower, taking out 4000 and finding support at 3700. The long lower wick suggests little demand at lower levels.  

However, any recovery would need to retake 4000 and the 50 SMA at 4175, which is also the channel’s mid-point. A rise above 4300 is needed to create a higher high. A rise above 4650 is needed to break out of the bullish flag.  

Support is seen at 3675, the flag’s lower band. A close below this level would invalidate the pattern and open the door to a deeper selloff towards 3500. 

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Author

Kathryn Davies
Kathryn is a well-established market analyst with a focus on fundamental and technical analysis covering a wide range of markets, including crypto, forex, indices, and commodities. She looks to provide concise explanations of what is happening in eco...
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