Gold Retreats as Oil Rally and Rising Treasury Yields Weigh on Precious Metals

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Gold Retreats as Oil Rally and Rising Treasury Yields Weigh on Precious Metals
PrimeXBT Editorial Team
Reviewed by PrimeXBT

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Gold pulled back as a sharp oil-price rally and rising Treasury yields weighed on the metal. Traders reacted to fresh Middle East escalation, while a more hawkish Fed outlook added pressure. Silver and platinum fell alongside gold.

Gold retreated as oil prices climbed 3.5% after President Trump said the U.S. could hit more targets in Iran overnight. The move drew traders toward the energy rally and away from the metal.

Middle East tension drives the move

Iran's recent attack on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz set off a new round of escalation. Both the U.S. and Iran now appear ready to escalate further, so traffic through the Strait could be halted again.

Bond traders bet that rising Middle East tension would stoke inflationary risks, and Treasury yields moved higher as a result. The yield on 2-year Treasuries climbed toward 4.22%, while the 10-year yield settled near 4.58%. Higher yields pressure gold, which pays no interest.

A more hawkish Fed outlook

The FedWatch Tool showed a 32.6% chance the Fed raises rates at its meeting at the end of July. The probability of a first rate hike in September rose to 51.3%, a shift that may add to gold's pressure in the sessions ahead.

The U.S. dollar, meanwhile, swung between gains and losses against a broad basket of currencies despite the higher yields, and its moves did not materially affect gold today. Gold is now trying to settle below support at $4020 – $4040; a break would open the way toward the $3930 – $3950 range.

Silver and platinum slide too

Silver came under pressure as the gold/silver ratio climbed above the 70.00 level. A settle above that mark would point toward recent highs at 71.37, a bearish signal for the metal. Silver is now testing support at $56.00 – $57.00, a level that has held on repeated tests.

Platinum also lost ground in the broad precious-metals pullback, hurt by its reliance on industrial demand as palladium fell 3.5%. Platinum failed to settle above $1600 – $1620 and pulled back toward $1570.

Source: FXEmpire

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