Nvidia’s credit default swap spreads hit record widening as AI data center spending nears $1 trillion

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Nvidia’s credit default swap spreads hit record widening as AI data center spending nears $1 trillion
PrimeXBT Editorial Team
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The cost of insuring Nvidia's debt against default spiked the most on record, with five-year credit default swap spreads widening to 57.25 basis points from roughly 42 basis points in late June. The move tracks reports that hyperscalers plan to spend over $750 billion on AI data center infrastructure in 2026 — spending that will have to be funded with debt.

Nvidia's five-year credit default swap spreads widened to 57.25 basis points, up from roughly 42 basis points in late June, the largest jump on record for the chipmaker. The company itself sits on approximately $50 billion in cash, so the repricing points outward rather than at its balance sheet.

The trigger, according to Crypto Briefing, is reports that hyperscalers are gearing up to spend over $750 billion on AI data center infrastructure in 2026, with that figure potentially climbing toward $870 billion in 2027.

Nvidia returns to the bond market after five years

That level of capital spending is expected to exceed the free cash flow of even the largest hyperscalers, which leaves debt as the funding route. Nvidia has announced plans to issue between $20 billion and $25 billion in high-grade bonds around June 15, 2026 — its first trip to the bond market in five years.

Investors lined up for it. Demand for the offering reportedly reached $85 billion, roughly a 4x oversubscription.

Credit risk is being repriced across the AI supply chain

Credit default swaps work as insurance policies on corporate debt, so wider spreads mean the market perceives higher risk — or at least wants more compensation for holding it. Crypto Briefing frames Nvidia's widening spreads as a broader repricing of credit risk across the entire AI supply chain rather than a judgment on the chipmaker.

Other borrowers in that chain have already tested the appetite. CoreWeave, the GPU cloud provider, raised $4.59 billion from a junk bond sale tied to Nvidia chips earlier this cycle, a deal that highlighted both demand for AI-linked debt and investors' willingness to accept lower credit quality for exposure to the theme.

Spending at a scale that moves more than one sector

Despite the wider spreads, Crypto Briefing reads the 4x oversubscription as a sign that appetite for high-grade corporate debt linked to AI remains voracious. Investors are acknowledging the added risk without stepping back.

The publication argues AI infrastructure spending has reached a scale where it becomes a macroeconomic variable rather than a sector theme. When four or five companies collectively plan to spend nearly a trillion dollars in a single year, it affects bond yields, credit spreads, and capital allocation across every asset class.

Source: Crypto Briefing

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