Victoria Coates, Donald Trump's Deputy National Security Advisor in 2017, indicated the U.S. President could find strikes on Iranian infrastructure necessary if Iran provokes him. Market pricing on an end to the Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026 dropped to 21.5% YES.
Market pricing shows a decline in the probability of an immediate end to the Iranian blockade, with the July 31 market seeing a notable drop to 21.5% YES. Victoria Coates, who served as Donald Trump's Deputy National Security Advisor in 2017, indicated that such action could become necessary if provoked by Iran, comments that appear consistent with a decreased likelihood of resolving the blockade by that date.
Coates said the U.S. President has refrained from striking Iranian infrastructure so far. But his administration has previously threatened strikes on key Iranian infrastructure and held back, reportedly to maintain room for negotiation and potential ceasefire agreements.
Her statement comes amid ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran over strategic issues like access to the Strait of Hormuz and the broader implications of the U.S.-Iran conflict. The possibility of strikes on Iranian infrastructure may lead to further volatility in related markets, reflecting uncertainty about future U.S. actions.
Official statements from the Trump administration on military action or negotiations with Iran are the signal to watch next. A confirmed strike or a public commitment to a peaceful resolution could significantly impact the odds of ending the Iranian blockade.
Source: Crypto Briefing
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