President Donald Trump is weighing new sanctions on Iran to press Tehran on its nuclear program, as Oman-mediated talks show limited progress. Prediction markets now put lower odds on a US-Iran deal that includes reconstruction funding, and traders are watching for the next move from Washington and Tehran.
President Donald Trump is considering increasing economic pressure on Iran through additional sanctions and restrictions, aiming to influence the country's nuclear policy. The push comes as talks between the two countries, mediated by Oman, have made limited progress.
Traders now see a smaller chance of a comprehensive US-Iran deal that includes reconstruction funding, with the YES share on that outcome slipping from 21% to 20.5% over the past 24 hours. Trump's stance on sanctions appears consistent with that shift, as tougher measures could undermine the negotiations rather than support them.
Markets are now watching for the president's next move on sanctions and restrictions, which could push the odds of a deal even lower before the end of 2026. Official announcements from Washington and any response from Iran are likely to move that pricing further, and mediators from Qatar and Pakistan may play a role in shaping the diplomatic engagements that follow.
Source: Crypto Briefing
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