Chanos Calls MSTR-Bitcoin Gap an $80 Billion Arbitrage Opportunity

2 min read
Chanos Calls MSTR-Bitcoin Gap an $80 Billion Arbitrage Opportunity
PrimeXBT Editorial Team
Reviewed by PrimeXBT

Topics in article

Short-seller James Chanos says Strategy's stock and its Bitcoin holdings show an $80B actionable spread, calling it one of the biggest pure arbitrage setups he has seen. Strategy holds about 847,363 BTC, worth roughly $54 billion at current prices, while MSTR carries added exposure to the firm's debt and financing costs.

Chanos flags an $80 billion gap

Chanos believes that business intelligence firm Strategy presents one of the greatest pure arbitrage opportunities he has ever seen. According to Chanos: "$80B actionable spread" exists between Strategy and the Bitcoin it holds.

Strategy owns an enormous amount of Bitcoin, but the stock market can value the company at substantially less than the market value of those holdings. Strategy currently holds about 847,363 BTC, and with Bitcoin around $64,000 on August 18, those holdings are worth approximately $54 billion.

That said, MSTR and Bitcoin are not economically identical. Owning MSTR gives investors exposure to Bitcoin, but also exposure to Strategy's debt, preferred securities, financing costs, software business, and management decisions.

Chanos's bet against Saylor

Chanos previously argued that MSTR was trading at an enormous premium to its Bitcoin holdings, and in 2025 he described his trade as selling MSTR while buying Bitcoin. Chanos & Co. began building that short selling position in late 2024, with reporting placing the initial short around October-November 2024.

By November 2024, MSTR's multiple to the value of its Bitcoin holdings had risen above 3x at points. From late 2024 into 2025, however, MSTR's premium over its underlying Bitcoin exposure contracted dramatically, and by November 2025 the mNAV had fallen to roughly 1.23x.

Chanos exited the trade in November 2025, unwinding the MSTR/Bitcoin hedge on Nov. 7. His track record includes shorting Enron, which he began investigating in 2000, and Luckin Coffee in 2020, after which Luckin disclosed that roughly $310 million in 2019 sales had been fabricated.

Source: U.Today

Trading involves risk.

Most traded markets

XAU / USD
-0.9% 4,127.61
BRENT
+1.35% 73.620
BTC / USD
+0.7% 63,151.2
EUR / USD
-0.12% 1.14269
USTEC
-0.91% 29,428.7
XAU / USD.24
-0.9% 4,127.61
View all markets

Author

PrimeXBT
Our Editorial Team consists of leading experts with a proven record in the fields of trading, cryptocurrencies, blockchain and finance. We thoroughly research the sources of information in order to provide readers with quality content that serves edu...
Read author’s articles
Alert Triangle Risk Disclaimer
Disclaimer: Some past publications may be outdated. We recommend following our news to stay up to date with the latest information. For any questions, feel free to contact our support team via the chat below.
The content provided here is for informational purposes only. It is not intended as personal investment advice and does not constitute a solicitation or invitation to engage in any financial transactions, investments, or related activities. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
The financial products offered by the Company are complex and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. These products may not be suitable for all investors. Before engaging, you should consider whether you understand how these leveraged products work and whether you can afford the high risk of losing your money.
The Company does not accept clients from the Restricted Jurisdictions as indicated in our website/ T&C. Some services or products may not be available in your jurisdiction.
The applicable legal entity and its respective products and services depend on the client’s country of residence and the entity with which the client has established a contractual relationship during registration.

Today in markets

Browse Crypto News

Register Now

Trading involves risk

Get started in minutes

Our clients love how fast and simple our sign-up is. It takes just a few minutes to get started!

Get Started Get Started
Get started in minutes

Need Help?

Risk Warning:
Trading in leveraged products carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors.