Ethereum Must Reclaim $2.5K to Reverse Bearish Momentum, Analysis Shows

2 min read
Ethereum Must Reclaim $2.5K to Reverse Bearish Momentum, Analysis Shows
PrimeXBT Editorial Team
Reviewed by PrimeXBT

Topics in article

Ethereum is trading around $2.25K after a failed breakout sent it back toward $2.2K. Buyers are defending that level, while peer-to-peer wallet activity has fallen from its mid-2026 highs.

ETH is trading around $2.25K after a failed breakout earlier this week pushed the price back toward $2.2K. Buyers are defending a short-term support level that could decide whether the market stabilizes or extends its correction.

Daily chart shows a broken channel

ETH has broken below the ascending channel that carried the price higher from the June lows near $1.5K. The price topped out close to $2.8K in late September and lost the channel's lower boundary in late October.

A rebound then retested the $2.5K supply zone, but sellers rejected the move. That reaction suggests the former support has turned into resistance.

Buyers would first need to reclaim $2.5K to restore the bullish case and bring the $2.8K-$3K supply zone back into view. A decisive daily close below $2.2K, however, would confirm the channel breakdown and expose the $1.85K demand zone.

Four-hour chart points to a fake breakout

On the 4-hour chart, ETH has traded within a descending channel since early October. Earlier this week it briefly pushed above the upper boundary and rallied toward $2.5K, but a sharp sell-off reversed the move.

The $2.2K demand zone has already absorbed two sell-offs in the past weeks. If buyers keep defending it, a relief bounce toward the upper channel boundary around $2.3K could follow. A breakdown below $2.2K would likely push the price toward the lower boundary near $2K.

Wallet activity has dropped

The Transactions Between EOA metric on CryptoQuant, which tracks transfers between externally owned accounts, surged toward 1.3M in the first half of 2026. Since August, it has collapsed to approximately 560K, close to its lowest levels of the past year, and is only now stabilizing.

That said, the source cautions that transaction counts do not directly measure buying demand. Still, the contraction in wallet activity, combined with the loss of the daily channel, suggests the market lacks a strong catalyst.

Source: CryptoPotato

Trading involves risk.

Author

PrimeXBT
Our Editorial Team consists of leading experts with a proven record in the fields of trading, cryptocurrencies, blockchain and finance. We thoroughly research the sources of information in order to provide readers with quality content that serves edu...
Read author’s articles
Alert Triangle Risk Disclaimer
Disclaimer: Some past publications may be outdated. We recommend following our news to stay up to date with the latest information. For any questions, feel free to contact our support team via the chat below.
The content provided here is for informational purposes only. It is not intended as personal investment advice and does not constitute a solicitation or invitation to engage in any financial transactions, investments, or related activities. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
The financial products offered by the Company are complex and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. These products may not be suitable for all investors. Before engaging, you should consider whether you understand how these leveraged products work and whether you can afford the high risk of losing your money.
The Company does not accept clients from the Restricted Jurisdictions as indicated in our website/ T&C. Some services or products may not be available in your jurisdiction.
The applicable legal entity and its respective products and services depend on the client’s country of residence and the entity with which the client has established a contractual relationship during registration.

Today in markets

Browse Crypto News

Register Now

Trading involves risk

Get started in minutes

Our clients love how fast and simple our sign-up is. It takes just a few minutes to get started!

Get Started Get Started
Get started in minutes

Need Help?

Risk Warning:
Trading in leveraged products carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors.