Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin says investment in artificial intelligence depends heavily on the economy and cannot grow indefinitely. He also linked the spending surge to persistent inflation while saying the Fed's 2% target remains within reach.
Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said AI investment depends heavily on the economy and cannot grow indefinitely. In his view, AI spending is tied to the same conditions that drive every other corporate spending decision.
Barkin pointed to nearly $700 billion in AI investments announced in a single week. Barkin has characterized the current period as an "enormous AI investment cycle". Firms are spending aggressively on data centers and chip technology, yet they are careful about adding workers because they expect productivity gains down the road.
Barkin ties AI spending to persistent inflation
At Howard University on October 13, 2026, Barkin linked the surge in AI investment to persistent inflation. He described that inflation as enduring, but he maintained that the Fed's 2% target remains within reach.
Fed Governor Michael Barr, meanwhile, acknowledged that AI-related demand is affecting the prices of key inputs, including chips and construction materials. AI-related capital expenditures have also proven resilient to high interest rates.
Hiring stays cautious
Barkin has indicated that the so-called AI apocalypse of widespread job losses has not occurred. Firms are delaying hiring while they wait to see how much AI boosts output.
Barkin's framing acknowledges that the productivity payoff may lag the spending.
Source: Crypto Briefing
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