Nvidia options price 5.4% earnings-day move, below May and 12-quarter averages

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Nvidia options price 5.4% earnings-day move, below May and 12-quarter averages
PrimeXBT Editorial Team
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Options traders are pricing a 5.4% move in either direction for Nvidia shares on Thursday, the day after the company's second-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings report. That reading sits below the 6.5% move priced ahead of Nvidia's May earnings and below its 7.4% average post-earnings swing over the last 12 quarters.

Nvidia options are pricing a 5.4% move in either direction on Thursday, August 27, the day after the company's second-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings report. The implied move works out to about $280 billion in market capitalization, according to Reuters via Investing.com.

A lower bar than May

Options markets now imply a 5.4% move for Nvidia, versus 6.5% priced ahead of its May earnings report. That reading also sits below Nvidia's 7.4% average post-earnings price swing over the last 12 quarters, reported by ORATS. The gap makes Thursday's report a test of whether a relatively restrained options market has correctly judged the risks around AI demand, guidance and cloud-sector spending.

Wednesday's earnings call

Nvidia was scheduled to hold its second-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings call on Wednesday, August 26, at 2 p.m. PT (5 p.m. ET), covering the quarter that ended July 26, 2026, according to Nvidia Investor Relations. For the quarter, Nvidia had forecast revenue of $91.0 billion, plus or minus 2%. Its outlook did not assume any Data Center compute revenue from China, the company said when it reported first-quarter fiscal 2027 results.

Investors regard Nvidia as a bellwether for the broader AI trade. Revenue guidance, chip demand, profit margins and continued AI-related capital spending by major cloud providers are among the variables in focus, Reuters reported.

AI financing partnerships in the background

The earnings scrutiny follows Nvidia's announcement of partnerships with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR to establish AI compute infrastructure-financing platforms. Nvidia said the partnerships are intended to mobilize over $500 billion of third-party capital for AI infrastructure buildout over time.

That August 10 announcement extends the backdrop for investor attention on the durability of AI-related capital spending. Thursday's results remain the immediate market test, including how Nvidia addresses its $91.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, second-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue outlook and demand conditions across its data-center business.

Source: Crypto Daily

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