XRP has fallen 6.67% over ten days, and Polymarket bettors now assign a 65% chance the token slides below $1. A falling taker buy/sell ratio and a multi-year low in whale inflows to Binance point to a market still dominated by sellers, with $0.60 in view as the next support level.
XRP slipped toward the $1 psychological level this week, and further downside looks likely. Over the past ten days, XRP fell 6.67%, from $1.074 to $1.002.
Bettors see a 65% chance XRP breaks $1
Joao Wedson, CEO and founder of crypto intelligence platform Alphractal, wrote in a post on X that he "wouldn't be surprised to see XRP trade below $0.60", noting that level has historically marked the average cost basis approached during market bottoms. A long consolidation followed by a bullish breakout has been the pattern in recent cycles and could repeat.
Polymarket has assigned a 65% chance that XRP prices will slide below $1, as rising leverage and weak buying pressure worsen the risk of a bearish reaction. The taker buy/sell ratio, which tracks aggressive market-order buying against selling, stood at 0.8, with a 7-day average of 0.9 — a reading below 1 that signals sellers remain in control. Even during strong XRP rallies, however, this ratio has sometimes dipped below 1. Falling taker buy/sell volume alongside rising open interest behind XRP points to a distribution phase led by sellers.
Too early to call a market bottom
The three-month average of XRP whale inflows to Binance has reached its lowest level since 2021, according to crypto analyst Darkfost. Average inflows now sit at $61 million, down from $456 million in January 2025 and $355 million in October 2025. Net flows, however, remained positive at +$18.8 million, meaning inflows to centralized exchanges still dominate.
Receding whale inflows offer a positive sign for the market, but they are not a decisive signal that a bottom is in. A push below $1 could still send XRP toward $0.60, closer to the average price seen before prior recoveries began.
Source: AMBCrypto
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