Bitcoin ETFs lose $430 million as Q3 buying proves concentrated in two windows

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Bitcoin ETFs lose $430 million as Q3 buying proves concentrated in two windows
PrimeXBT Editorial Team
Reviewed by PrimeXBT

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US spot Bitcoin ETFs lost $430 million on Nov. 5, days after a report showed fund buyers outpaced miners in Q3. Most of that buying came in two short windows, and older-holder balances fell by more.

US spot Bitcoin ETF outflows totaled $430 million on Nov. 5, according to Farside Investors. The outflow follows a quarter in which fund buyers outbought miners.

Bitcoin's ETF buyers added 79,800 BTC in Q3, against 41,300 BTC newly mined, according to 21Shares' Nov. 2 report. The comparison supports the scarcity argument, but offers limited reassurance about demand today.

Two buying windows drove the quarter

Aug. 17-27 and Sept. 21-25 accounted for 91% of ETF inflows measured in Bitcoin, based on 21Shares figures through Sept. 30. For holders assessing a supply squeeze, the unresolved question is whether fund demand persists between those buying bursts.

The same report recorded a 248,000 BTC reduction in long-term-holder balances during Q3. That is a net balance decline, not a measured total of executed market sales. Coins already held by existing investors can also move, so purchases exceeding mining output do not establish how much supply buyers must absorb at a given price.

Glassnode's holder metric still points to net spending

Glassnode's long-term-holder position metric showed approximately negative 151,885 BTC in a 10:39 UTC capture on Nov. 6. The metric measures the rolling 30-day change in the cohort's supply, and a negative reading means spending outweighs maturation, rather than that the displayed amount was sold during one day.

Its rolling window also differs from Q3, so it does not support a direct claim that distribution has accelerated or slowed. The more persuasive recovery signal would be repeated ETF inflows alongside slower net distribution from older holders.

Source: CryptoSlate

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