An AI price analysis from ChatGPT points to $150 to $190 for Solana by the end of 2026, with $165 as the base case, citing tokenized real-world assets, the Alpenglow upgrade, and a staking-enabled ETF. Solana's weekly chart shows the token stabilizing in the upper $70s after a sharp early-2026 decline.
Tokenized assets reshape the Solana thesis
Solana's tokenized real-world asset value hit $3.73 billion in July as tokenized equities expanded on the network. ChatGPT's analysis frames that growth as real network demand rather than speculative trading volume, a shift from Solana's earlier reputation as a venue defined by memecoin activity.
The AI model's price prediction targets $150 to $190 by the end of 2026, with $165 as a realistic base case. Reaching that base case would require Solana's price to more than double from current levels.
Alpenglow and a staking ETF add two more catalysts
Alpenglow, Solana's upgrade targeting sub-150ms finality, is progressing toward mainnet and stands as the strongest catalyst in the thesis. Faster finality matters for latency-sensitive trading and payments, use cases where milliseconds determine whether a venue is viable.
Morgan Stanley's Solana ETF adds a third channel: the product can stake its SOL holdings, which creates capital demand while locking supply out of circulation at the same time.
The bear case rests on two triggers. A failed Alpenglow rollout is the first; weakening on-chain activity is the second. Either could send SOL toward $50 to $60, while the bullish scenario points to $175 by year-end.
Weekly chart shows stabilization after a sharp decline
Solana climbed from $20 in 2023 to a peak near $293 by January 2025, then reached $255 in a second run in September 2025 before the trend turned decisively. Early 2026 broke that structure, cutting the price from $145 toward $80, and the decline continued through spring to a low near $61.
Recent weeks have stabilized, with price grinding slowly higher into the upper $70s. The weekly close reads $77.15, up 3.50% and $2.61, with the weekly range covering $74.36 to $77.39. Support sits at $74, then $68 and $61 at the spring low, while resistance appears at $90, then $100 and $120.
The RSI reads 42.06 with its signal line below at 38.21 — the oscillator leads by nearly four points, a constructive crossover from depressed levels. Both lines remain under the midline, so momentum is turning up, but no trend reversal has been confirmed yet.
Source: 99Bitcoins
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