US budget deficit hits $432.3 billion in July, highest since March 2021

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US budget deficit hits $432.3 billion in July, highest since March 2021
PrimeXBT Editorial Team
Reviewed by PrimeXBT

The U.S. Treasury reported a $432.3 billion budget deficit for July, the largest monthly shortfall since March 2021 and 48% wider than a year earlier. Surging Medicare spending and debt-servicing costs drove July's shortfall, while the fiscal-year deficit through the first ten months widened to nearly $1.8 trillion as outlays outpaced receipts.

The U.S. government posted a $432.3 billion budget deficit in July, the highest monthly deficit since March 2021. That gap was up some 48% from the same period a year ago. A year earlier, the shortfall stood at $291.1 billion.

Medicare and interest costs drive the shortfall

Medicare expenses hit $174 billion in July. That was up from $103 billion in June. The program's year-to-date total reached $955 billion. It was July's largest single expenditure, ahead of $141 billion in Social Security. Net interest on the federal debt added another $104 billion. Debt-servicing costs for the fiscal year to date reached $1.17 trillion on the $39.9 trillion national debt. Of that, $32.1 trillion is held by the public. Debt servicing a year earlier had totaled $1.01 trillion.

Fiscal-year deficit nears $1.8 trillion

The cumulative deficit for the first ten months of the fiscal year climbed to $1.799 trillion, compared with $1.629 trillion a year earlier. Receipts totaled $4.49 trillion, up from $4.35 trillion in the same period of fiscal 2025. Outlays rose to $6.28 trillion from $5.98 trillion. Government spending in July alone hit a record $766 billion for the month. That total pushed the July shortfall past Wall Street's consensus estimate of $346 billion.

Tariff refunds and calendar shifts added pressure

Tariff refunds cost the budget $33 billion in July, as the administration continues issuing rebates for levies the Supreme Court ruled illegal. The budget also absorbed a $99 billion hit because August 1 fell on a nonbusiness day, accelerating benefits, Supplemental Security Income, and Medicare payments into July. The Treasury financed the shortfall largely through $1.70 trillion in borrowing from the public through July.

Sources: Economy (CNBC), Investinglive RSS Breaking News Feed, Economy News (Investing.com)

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