Two Defensive Sector ETFs Outyield the S&P 500 as Recession Risk Looms

3 min read
Two Defensive Sector ETFs Outyield the S&P 500 as Recession Risk Looms
PrimeXBT Editorial Team
Reviewed by PrimeXBT

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Two State Street sector ETFs pay far more income than the S&P 500 while carrying lower market sensitivity, making them a defensive tilt as investors weigh a possible recession. XLP posts a 30-day SEC yield of 2.63% and XLU 2.67% against the index's roughly 1%, drawn only from profitable S&P 500 constituents.

Income investors chasing yield in a market near record highs have two low-cost defensive options that pay more than double what the broad index returns. The State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) and the Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) both draw exclusively from the S&P 500, so every holding has already cleared the index's size, liquidity, and profitability tests.

The gap in income is stark. The S&P 500 yields only about 1% because share prices have risen much faster than dividend payments, compressing yields and pushing retirees toward alternatives. That leaves many income-focused investors searching beyond the index itself.

Why staples and utilities hold up

The two sectors share a trait economists call inelastic demand: consumers keep buying a product even when prices rise or the economy weakens, because it counts as a necessity rather than a discretionary purchase. Electricity, natural gas, and water fit the pattern, as do groceries, toothpaste, and household cleaning products.

When households tighten budgets during a recession, discretionary spending goes first — vacations, restaurant meals, and big-ticket electronics get delayed, while essentials stay far down the list of cuts. As a result, companies selling necessities often see steadier revenue, which can help protect margins, earnings, and share prices. This is not a perfectly causal relationship, since company-specific issues, regulation, valuation, and broader market sentiment still matter.

Lower beta, higher yield

Both funds have historically moved less than the broader market. According to Yahoo Finance, XLP carries a five-year monthly beta of 0.54, while XLU's is even lower at 0.49. A beta below 1 signals a fund that tends to swing less than the index.

On income, they clear the market comfortably: 30-day SEC yields of 2.63% for XLP and 2.67% for XLU, largely from qualified dividends. Both also charge a 0.08% expense ratio, about $8 a year on a $10,000 investment. Defensive still does not mean risk-free: both sectors can still post substantial losses, even as their drawdowns have historically run smaller than the broader market in major bear markets.

Source: Yahoo Finance

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